Daily Mirror - U.K.
The world is stuck with Donald Trump as US President, for the next four years at least.
But this map suggests there may be some hope for the future. It was tweeted by Eliza Byard, executive director of the Gay, Lesbian & Straight Education Network, and has been receiving a lot of attention. It suggests that, if were down to voters aged 18-25-years-old, Clinton would have trounced Donald Trump in the election.
The data, collected by Survey Monkey, suggests Trump would win just five states and collect only 23 electoral votes whereas Clinton would have 504.
But the major caveat is that this was based on surveys carried out in the weeks running up to the election. So the question is - did young people turnout in numbers and vote as they said they would? According to exit polls carried out by CNN, Clinton took 55% of the vote for those aged 18-29. But overall, turnout for the Democrats was way down. There were 59.1million votes for Clinton, compared with 65.9million in 2012. In comparison, Trump got 59million votes compared to the 60.9million for Mitt Romney in 2012. This explains why polls, almost without exception, got it wrong in predicting a Clinton win.
Cliff Young, president of Ipsos Public Affairs US, said the problem came down to the models the pollsters used to predict who would vote. The models almost universally miscalculated how turnout was distributed among different demographic groups, Young said. And turnout was lower than expected, a result that generally favors Republican candidates. In 2000, when Republican George W. Bush beat Democrat Al Gore, for example, the turnout was about 60 percent, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Eight years later, turnout was 64 percent when Democratic nominee Barack Obama won his first presidential election against Republican Arizona Sen. John McCain.
This year, "whites with lower levels of education came out in greater relative numbers than younger, more-educated and minority voters," Young said. "A point here or a point there can really change an election." Ultimately, missing that shift in the state polls tripped up the predictions.